Arenas de Armilla vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ALG
1 - 0
ARE
60%
24%
16%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
TAL
0 - 0
ARE
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ARE
0 - 1
CDZ
34%
28%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARE
53%
26%
21%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ARE
3 - 0
CDB
26%
29%
45%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
TOM
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2005 |
ATM
2 - 0
LOR
85%
12%
4%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
2 - 1
RJA
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 3
ATM
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ECI
0 - 3
LOR
34%
30%
37%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |