Arenas de Armilla vs Iliturgi 2016 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ARE
4 - 2
CAÑ
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDR
2 - 0
ARE
68%
19%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARE
0 - 0
BER
41%
25%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
ARE
64%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARE
1 - 1
VIL
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 1
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ATA
4 - 1
ICF
60%
22%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ICF
1 - 2
CDM
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 1
ICF
44%
26%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ICF
3 - 1
CHU
54%
23%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |