Arenas de Armilla vs Huétor Vega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
16º
8º
27
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARE
30%
25%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 0
ARE
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 3
RJA
21%
26%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
ARE
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
CDL
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Huétor Vega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HUE
3 - 1
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RJA
3 - 1
HUE
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HUE
1 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 2
HUE
39%
25%
37%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HUE
0 - 1
MAL
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |