Arenas de Armilla vs CP Mijas Las Lagunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
16º
10º
4
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
2 | 71 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 70 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 67 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 62 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 53 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 49 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 48 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 42 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 34 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 33 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 28 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 2
ARE
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 3
CDT
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 2
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
ARE
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ARE
6 - 0
POL
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CP Mijas Las Lagunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RJA
1 - 1
CDL
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 4
CDL
71%
19%
11%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
JUV
15%
21%
65%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 2
CDL
12%
18%
70%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |