Arenas de Armilla vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARE
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
JER
28%
29%
43%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 0
ARE
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
SEV
31%
30%
39%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 1
ARE
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
TOM
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
DBN
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 2
ECI
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
AGD
1 - 0
DBN
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 2
UBC
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |