Arenas de Armilla vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
UBC
0 - 0
ARE
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
DBN
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
ARE
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
JER
28%
29%
43%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
EXT
3 - 0
ARE
65%
21%
15%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
3 - 0
TOM
59%
26%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 1
ALB
18%
28%
54%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
34%
30%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AGD
2 - 0
ECI
50%
28%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
AGD
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |