Arema FC vs Malut United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
14º
7º
29
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 65 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 55 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 47 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 46 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 37 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
18º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
26% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
PSI
1 - 2
ARE
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PSS
3 - 1
ARE
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PSM
0 - 1
ARE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
ARE
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
ARE
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Malut United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
PSS
0 - 1
PDS
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PDS
1 - 4
PER
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PUS
1 - 0
PDS
60%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PDS
2 - 1
SEM
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
PDS
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |