Arema FC vs PSMS Medan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
DEL
3 - 3
ARE
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
ARE
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARE
1 - 5
SRI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
ARE
2 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
ARE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PSMS Medan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
MED
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MED
1 - 1
PER
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
PER
3 - 1
MED
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 2
MED
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MED
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |