Arema FC vs Persela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
ARE
59%
21%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARE
3 - 0
PER
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
PER
2 - 2
ARE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ARE
2 - 1
SEM
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
PER
0 - 8
ARE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
SEM
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SEM
4 - 2
PER
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
PER
2 - 2
ARE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PER
2 - 0
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
PER
1 - 3
PER
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |