Piala Presiden Final
Global 4-2
Arema FC vs Persebaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
PER
2 - 2
ARE
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
PKP
0 - 3
ARE
14%
17%
69%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
ARE
3 - 0
PKP
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BSU
0 - 4
ARE
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
ARE
6 - 1
PER
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Persebaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
PER
2 - 2
ARE
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 3
PER
31%
22%
48%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
MAD
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
PER
3 - 1
PST
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
PST
0 - 0
PER
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |