Ards FC vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 1
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARD
3 - 1
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 3
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 1
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
WAR
3 - 1
LTO
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 1
WAR
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
WAR
0 - 2
CLI
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
4 - 3
WAR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |