Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Ards FC vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1958 |
REI
6 - 2
ARD
86%
9%
5%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ARD
1 - 4
REI
28%
22%
51%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROM
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
ROM
2 - 1
PRG
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
TER
0 - 0
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1969 |
USF
1 - 3
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |