Ards FC vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 2
ARD
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 2
CLI
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DON
0 - 6
ARD
10%
18%
73%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 0
LOU
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
KNO
2 - 0
ARD
34%
24%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
POR
50%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 2
POR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 0
POR
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |