Ards FC vs Portadown analysis

Ards FC Portadown
56 ELO 50
18.9% Tilt 16%
2512º General ELO ranking 1351º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
64.2%
Ards FC
19.8%
Draw
16%
Portadown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
Ards FC
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16%
Win probability
Portadown
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ards FC
+25%
-6%
Portadown

ELO progression

Ards FC
Portadown
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2017
CAR
Carrick Rangers
2 - 2
Ards FC
ARD
34%
25%
42%
56 50 6 0
08 Apr. 2017
ARD
Ards FC
4 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
43%
26%
31%
54 59 5 +2
25 Mar. 2017
ARD
Ards FC
1 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
19%
23%
59%
53 71 18 +1
18 Mar. 2017
LIN
Linfield
5 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
72%
18%
10%
54 71 17 -1
10 Mar. 2017
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
52%
23%
25%
53 53 0 +1

Matches

Portadown
Portadown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2017
POR
Portadown
1 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
42%
25%
33%
49 53 4 0
08 Apr. 2017
POR
Portadown
2 - 1
Carrick Rangers
CAR
46%
25%
30%
49 51 2 0
25 Mar. 2017
POR
Portadown
0 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
33%
26%
42%
49 59 10 0
18 Mar. 2017
CAR
Carrick Rangers
3 - 2
Portadown
POR
50%
24%
25%
50 51 1 -1
11 Mar. 2017
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 0
Portadown
POR
80%
13%
7%
51 64 13 -1