Ards FC vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARD
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
ARD
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
POR
2 - 4
GLE
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
POR
6 - 0
LIS
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WAR
2 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 2
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |