Ards FC vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
ARD
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 4
ARD
44%
23%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
1 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 2
ARD
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 2
CLI
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 2
MOY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
NEW
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 0
HFC
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CSF
4 - 1
NEW
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
DFC
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |