Ards FC vs Newington Youth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
4 - 0
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 2
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 2
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newington Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NEY
4 - 0
MOY
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
NEY
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
NEY
1 - 2
DON
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 2
NEY
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUN
2 - 4
NEY
54%
21%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |