Ards FC vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
ARD
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
INS
1 - 0
ARD
44%
23%
33%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 2
INS
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
AUN
2 - 0
ARD
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
6 - 1
KNO
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KNO
1 - 4
AUN
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
KNO
1 - 3
NEY
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
KNO
0 - 1
DUN
12%
19%
69%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
KNO
0 - 4
GLE
7%
13%
81%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | -1 |