Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
POR
3 - 2
ARD
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ARD
0 - 1
BAN
44%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ARD
3 - 1
COA
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 1
ARD
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ARD
3 - 0
MOY
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 3
INS
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
3 - 2
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
4 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 2
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |