Ards FC vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 4
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 3
ARD
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 3
DUN
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 0
ARD
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 4
WAR
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
3 - 3
CRU
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CLI
3 - 0
GLE
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GLE
5 - 0
BAL
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
GLE
14%
20%
66%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |