Ards FC vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
INS
0 - 1
ARD
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 1
GLE
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 0
ARD
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
2 - 2
CRU
4%
12%
84%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
WAR
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
WAR
5 - 3
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 5
LIN
17%
24%
58%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |