Ards FC vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 0
ARD
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CLI
6 - 3
ARD
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 1
ARD
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 3
ARD
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
GLE
2 - 0
DUN
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 3
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
DER
3 - 2
DUN
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
BAL
5 - 2
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |