Ards FC vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KNO
2 - 3
ARD
19%
20%
62%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 1
HAR
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 0
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
ARD
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NEY
3 - 2
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
DUN
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
AUN
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 3
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 2
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |