Ards FC vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ARD
7 - 0
DON
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 4
ARD
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ARD
2 - 2
BAL
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 2
INS
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 6
ARD
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
GLE
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
COL
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
COL
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |