Ards FC vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARD
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
0 - 0
BAL
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 2
WAR
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 2
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
COL
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |