Ards FC vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
ARD
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARD
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 3
CLI
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAR
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIM
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 4
HAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |