Ards FC vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 3
ARD
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
ARD
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CRU
6 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
68%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
GLE
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |