Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
ARD
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
ARD
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 1
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 4
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 3
ARD
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
BAL
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CLI
1 - 0
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |