Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 2
WAR
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
4 - 1
ARD
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 2
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 2
ARD
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARD
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CLI
5 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |