Ardley United vs Risborough Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 2
ARD
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 1
BUR
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
ARD
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HFC
2 - 2
ARD
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 2
RAC
24%
20%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Risborough Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RIS
2 - 0
EGH
58%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RIS
1 - 2
VIR
55%
21%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
5 - 0
RIS
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RIS
0 - 1
CHA
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIS
4 - 0
MIL
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |