Ardagger vs Zwettl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SVH
1 - 2
ARD
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 3
MAN
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WUR
3 - 1
ARD
41%
23%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
SPR
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 4
ARD
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
ZWE
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FCM
3 - 1
ZWE
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ZWE
8 - 1
SVH
84%
11%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ZWE
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ZWE
3 - 2
WUR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |