Ardagger vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
SVS
2 - 2
ARD
15%
23%
63%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ARD
0 - 0
KOT
52%
24%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
GOT
0 - 1
ARD
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ARD
1 - 0
ZWE
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAD
1 - 2
ARD
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
WUR
0 - 1
LAN
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STP
1 - 1
WUR
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
WUR
3 - 0
WAI
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 1
SVS
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
KOT
1 - 3
WUR
69%
19%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |