Ardagger vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
GAF
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GAF
2 - 2
ARD
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARD
1 - 1
MIS
34%
24%
41%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
STP
1 - 1
ARD
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
ARD
2 - 2
ZWE
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
KOT
2 - 0
WUR
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 0
KOT
51%
24%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VOS
0 - 1
WUR
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
WUR
3 - 3
SCH
13%
20%
66%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BAD
3 - 0
WUR
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |