Ardagger vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WUR
2 - 3
ARD
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ARD
3 - 0
SVS
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
KOT
5 - 0
ARD
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 4
GOT
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ZWE
1 - 4
ARD
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
STP
2 - 2
LAN
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 4
STP
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 3
STP
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STP
1 - 2
SVS
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
KOT
1 - 2
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |