Ardagger vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ZWE
0 - 2
ARD
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ARD
3 - 0
GOT
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
SVS
0 - 1
ARD
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 2
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
ARD
3 - 0
STP
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
STP
2 - 2
STP
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
KOT
2 - 1
STP
56%
23%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
STP
1 - 2
VOS
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SCH
0 - 1
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STP
1 - 3
BAD
40%
25%
36%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |