Ardagger vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 4
ARD
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
3 - 1
GAF
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
WAI
1 - 1
ARD
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 3
LEO
13%
19%
67%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 1
ARD
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SPR
1 - 1
ZWE
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 0
SPR
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SPR
2 - 0
SVH
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
SPR
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 0
WUR
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |