Ardagger vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
GOT
2 - 0
ARD
35%
25%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ARD
3 - 6
STP
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 3
ARD
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ARD
1 - 1
LAN
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
ARD
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 0
SCH
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
LAN
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
KOT
0 - 1
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 2
GAF
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
1 - 1
SCH
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |