Ardagger vs Schwadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BAD
1 - 1
ARD
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ARD
4 - 1
SCR
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
ARD
1 - 3
AMS
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 2
ARD
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
GOT
2 - 0
ARD
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Schwadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 1
LAN
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 0
STP
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
KOT
0 - 0
SCH
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 1
VOS
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 19 | 38 | -4 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 3
KAP
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |