Ardagger vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 0
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 0
STP
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 0
ARD
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ELE
0 - 2
ARD
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 1
AUS
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 4
STP
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 1
SCO
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
2 - 0
SCO
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 1
SCO
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
1 - 1
SCR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |