Ardagger vs Ober-Grafendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WUR
2 - 0
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
ARD
7 - 1
SCH
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
GOT
2 - 0
ARD
35%
25%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ARD
3 - 6
STP
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
STP
2 - 3
ARD
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ober-Grafendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
OBE
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OBE
3 - 0
STP
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
OBE
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
OBE
2 - 0
KOT
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 2
OBE
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |