Ardagger vs Mistelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
ZWE
3 - 1
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
ARD
4 - 0
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
ARD
31%
26%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 3
ARD
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 1
STP
28%
24%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPR
2 - 0
MIS
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
MIS
3 - 1
SCH
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
MIS
1 - 2
GAF
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 0
MIS
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
MIS
54%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |