Ardagger vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WUR
3 - 1
ARD
41%
23%
35%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
SPR
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 4
ARD
90%
7%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
3 - 1
GAF
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
WAI
1 - 1
ARD
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
ZWE
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAN
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 2
SVH
86%
9%
4%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 0
KOT
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 1
MAN
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |