Ardagger vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
WAI
3 - 3
ARD
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
KOT
8 - 0
ARD
68%
20%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ARD
3 - 2
SPR
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
STP
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 4
KOT
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
4 - 0
SCR
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ZWE
2 - 1
GAF
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
4 - 1
OBE
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 0
GAF
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |