Ardagger vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 4
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
SCR
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 2
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
2 - 2
ARD
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 3
ARD
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GAF
5 - 1
LAN
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
STP
2 - 3
GAF
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 5
GAF
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GAF
2 - 2
SVS
85%
11%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
KOT
0 - 3
GAF
39%
24%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |