Ardagger vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GAF
2 - 2
ARD
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARD
1 - 1
MIS
34%
24%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
STP
1 - 1
ARD
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
ARD
2 - 2
ZWE
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
GOT
1 - 0
ARD
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GAF
2 - 2
ARD
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
STP
4 - 3
GAF
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 3
KOT
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
GAF
1 - 5
AMS
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VOS
1 - 4
GAF
48%
23%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |