Arda Kardzhali vs Pirin Blagoevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
16º
8º
24
13º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 0
ARK
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARK
1 - 0
SSO
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVA
1 - 3
ARK
25%
28%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ARK
0 - 1
CSK
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
LPL
1 - 0
ARK
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Blagoevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
OFK
2 - 1
BVR
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 0
OFK
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
OFK
0 - 4
LUD
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
CVA
1 - 0
OFK
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 0
OFK
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |