Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
LOK
2 - 0
ARK
38%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARK
5 - 1
NES
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
OFK
0 - 0
ARK
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARK
1 - 0
LOV
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
ILL
3 - 0
ARK
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 1
POM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FCT
2 - 1
LSO
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 0
DOB
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUD
0 - 3
LSO
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 0
OBO
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |