Arda Kardzhali vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
13º
8º
5
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
54% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
5 - 1
ARK
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 0
FLK
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 0
ARK
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 1
FCD
50%
23%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
ARK
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 1
SSO
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
HEB
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 2
SVA
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FHV
5 - 2
HEB
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HEB
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |