Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
13º
8º
6
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
16.5% | 5% |
|
Next round
|
54% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29.5% | 57.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
ARK
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
HEB
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUD
5 - 1
ARK
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 0
FLK
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LPL
1 - 0
ARK
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
3 - 0
CSK
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
HEB
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 0
CSK
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 1
MPT
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |