Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
2º
1º
45
4º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 1 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
SSO
0 - 0
ARK
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 1
ARK
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 3
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 0
ARK
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
SSO
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSK
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SSO
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 4
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |